The Future of American-Chinese Relations

05/25/2008

Paul Munnis


As we look towards developing a new foreign policy for the U.S. I think that we need to look long and hard at creating a future with China as both close friend and ally.

We need each other in fundamental ways that will last for centuries to come. America needs to be friends with the world’s most populated nation and China needs to be friends with its largest consumer and the world’s most developed brain-trust and the world's strongest economy.

Instead of fearing one another militarily we need to form a military alliance so that China can concentrate more on improving the quality of life for its citizens and America can relax knowing no atomic threat is to be feared. Since the failure of Communism, China has been emulating the U.S. and they really "get it." They are doing a heck of a job at working to industrialize. Succeeding at that is the only hope for the present Chinese government staying in power. They will succeed because they must.

After the Cold War ended with Russia then we allowed the neo-cons to get cocky and to set out to use military conquest and thus try to build an oil empire. That was the wrong foreign policy. We need to improve our relationship with China. Doing so will provide a huge global influence on the rest of the world.

Making such an alliance with India, Pakistan, the mid-eastern nations, and others, is not at all as important as such an Am-Chin relationship would be. Russia would fall all over itself to get into the fold and Europe would want to get into bed with the alliance too. We would be fools not to welcome them but not as equal partners.

In a new world order it would not be about contest with the other guy it would be about setting important world goals and working together to achieve them. Globalism would give way to partnership.

Why is it that India and Pakistan that are crowded nations and that they have a great brain-trust but cannot organize to make it in the world without U.S. help? These are not small nations, they are not dumb nations, and they are not a lazy people. But they are nations with a caste system and the result is that intelligence, while it is distributed as a binomial distribution in populations, is wasted. They throw away a large part of their high IQ population because of caste. They also fail to develop world class education establishments to develop their brain trust and the results are predictable.

They can’t invent product, they can’t organize by themselves to produce, they lack markets outside of the U.S. and they desperately need a good dose of American economic pragmatism and leadership in order to function. The British did their thinking for them for decades and now they are on their own and are handicapped. American educational institutions are the key to India’s future. A working engineer creates 200 jobs per year for others. India lacks enough engineers. To complement engineers then more people trained in economics and finance are badly needed to get engineering projects funded and working. These are some of the reasons for a slow India. Some in India would have us believe they are slow because America dominated them and coerced them economically. Nonsense, they are their own worst enemy.

Not so with China, they are a tribe and all people in the tribe are the same except for education or political connections. China has figured out what America needs and they supply it, the result is that they are on a roll with shore to shore lines of container cargo ships lining the oceanic routes between China and the U.S. while India still needs an American cane to support itself on. India is dying from its own culture and an inability to change itself. We can send all the jobs we want to India and it won't fix India's global economy.

What about Africa as a place of progress and of enlightenment? Africa still can’t organize even to drill for village water. It is so backwards as to be an embarrassment to the human race. A good day in Africa is when no attempts are being made at apartheid.

Is this because Africans are an inferior race? No, they can do anything they organize to accomplish and they can and they do accomplish tasks with both style and grace.

Is it about a lack of education? Yes, because what good is a course in industrial management since there are few places to apply such knowledge.

Is it about a lack of investment? Yes, because there is a lot of history indicating that the investment will be lost. People don’t like to talk about this but when South Africa was taken over and the Dutch were tamed then South Africa began a long-slow decline that is still continuing. Nobody is investing in Africa today – such investments are too risky.

Is it about government? Yes, the ethos of Africa is that of a warlord society and even elected officials are just warlords in a western suit and tie.

Is it about brains? No, for as we said, IQ is distributed as a binomial distribution among the races and the people of Africa are just as bright as the people in Germany, France, or the U.S. But those brains are not being developed to meet 21st century needs.

China and America would make incredible allies. The U.S. could work to create a United Americas with two continents of solidarity and at the same time join hands with China.

The result would be a new world order.

As for India and Africa they would have to decide whether or not to work and unite and if they did then the result would be the civilization of Africa and the Rise of India.

We used to think that the natural alliances are: Pacific Rim nations, Americas, and the EU. I think it is useful to consider a different set of alliance based upon affinity.

Neither China or the United States has anything to gain from a contention relationship but they have much to gain from friendship and mutual solidarity.